In this October 2020 article published in Health Affairs, PNHP researchers Adam Gaffney, David Himmelstein and Steffie Woolhandler analyze the problem of the rising numbers of uninsured people in the US.

The authors conclude:

“Based on the ACS coverage data, we estimate that between 3,399 and 10,147 excess deaths among non-elderly US adults may have occurred over the 2017-2019 time period due to coverage losses during these years…In 2020 and beyond, we can project even more loss of life if, as expected, millions more lose health coverage due to the economic downturn associated with the pandemic.

Declining insurance coverage during the Trump administration has hence come at a heavy cost in physical and mental health, financial security, and loss of life. However, larger policy changes may lie ahead that could have even greater health impacts. In November, the Supreme Court will hear arguments in the case California v. Texas.  If, as the Trump administration has urged, it entirely overturns the Affordable Care Act, 19.9 million individuals could lose health coverage. Based on the same approach as outlined above, we estimate that this coverage loss would lead to 22,892 – 68,345 excess deaths among nonelderly adults annually. The life and health ramifications of this case — and of November’s election — are enormous.”

Read the full article HERE.